| |
Ethiopia |
Eritrea |
| Total Population |
65 million |
3.5 million |
| People at Risk in Average Year |
1-3 million |
330,000 |
2003 |
| People at Risk |
0 - 14 million |
1.1 million |
| Projected Production |
8.5-9.5 million MT |
50-60,000 MT |
| Projected Food Gap |
1.5 -2.2 million MT |
283,000 MT |
Background
- Inadequate and erratic rains over short and long rainy seasons have resulted in widespread crop failure and created a grim humanitarian outlook in Eritrea and across large areas of eastern and southwestern Ethiopia.
- A process of impoverishment over recent years, exacerbated by only a partial recovery from the most recent 1999/2000 food security crisis, has increased many communities' vulnerability to current shocks.
- Widely observed pre-famine indicators include:
- Rapid rise in grain prices
- Non-availability of short season produce
- Non-availability of seed
- Significant livestock death / poor terms of trade for livestock
- Deterioration in nutritional status
- The next significant harvest is not expected until November 2003.
- The October 2002 WFP/FAO/ Government of Eritrea crop assessment has estimated the total harvest country wide at 54,000 MT, just 20% of last years production of 246,000 MT, as a result of erratic rain.
Government and World Food Program Appeals: Contributions and Shortfalls
Ethiopia* |
Eritrea |
| |
Oct-Dec 2002 |
Jan-Dec 2003 |
Nov 2002-Dec 2003 |
| Need (in metric tons) |
278,000 MT |
1.5 - 2.2 million MT |
350,000 MT |
| USG Response to Date |
234,000 MT |
22,000 MT |
44,000 MT |
| Current Unmet Need |
44,000 MT |
1.4 - 2.1 million MT |
306,000 MT |
*Ethiopia's donor- supported 300,000 MT grain reserve currently stands at 70,000 MTs; more than 200,000 MTs have already been released against pledges from the international donors and the Ethiopian government. ( For example, 416(b
and Title II donations arriving in September and January repay the reserves for stocks already released to WFP for distribution.)
| Average Year Food Stats |
(metric tons) |
(metric tons) |
| Consumption Needs |
11,000,000 |
540,000 |
| Domestic production |
10,130,000 |
320,000 |
| Commercial imports |
150,000 |
170,000 |
| Food Gap/International aid |
720,000 |
50,000 |
|
