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VII. Performance Results

For each initiative/program that supports accomplishment of this strategic goal, the most critical FY 2006 performance indicators and targets are shown below.

ANNUAL PERFORMANCE GOAL 1 — International Trafficking in Drugs, Persons, and Other Illicit Goods Disrupted and Criminal Organizations Dismantled.

I/P: Andean Counterdrug Initiative

INDICATOR: Ratio of Total Metric Tons Seized in Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia to
Estimated Production of Cocaine
Department of State seal PART Outcome
JUSTIFICATION: Statistics on seizures complement estimates on cultivation and production. They are an indication of law enforcement effectiveness but much less reliable as a snapshot of drug trafficking.
FY 2006 PERFORMANCE Target Seizure Rate: at least 28% of total net production.
Results Although actual data for metric tons produced or actual metric tons seized is not expected to be distributed until April 2007, based on results for 2005 and past experience, it is reasonable to forecast that the seizure rate will remain on target.
Rating On Target
Impact The seizure rate measures the effectiveness of U.S. Government assistance to law enforcement capacity building in Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia. The upward trend from 2003 to 2005 indicates that the host government law enforcement, working together with the U.S. Government, continue to capture an increasing share of the cocaine produced in the Andean region.
PERFORMANCE DATA Data Source Seizure statistics are provided by post and the host government and are included annually in the International Narcotics Control Strategy Report. The quality of the data varies by government. Estimates of cocaine production are provided by the CIA’s Crime and Narcotics Center.
Data Quality
(Verification)		 The quality of the seizure data varies by government. Estimates of cocaine production as provided by the CIA’s Crime and Narcotics Center are regarded as the U.S. Government’s most reliable information regarding cocaine production.
PAST PERFORMANCE 2005 31%.
2004 26%.
2003 24%.

 

I/P: Global Poppy Cultivation

INDICATOR: Cultivation of Illicit Opium Poppy in Hectares in Afghanistan
Department of State seal Outcome
JUSTIFICATION: The level of cultivation is the single best indicator of poppy and therefore heroin production. It has the added advantage of pinpointing poppy-growing areas so they can be targeted for eradication and other counter-narcotics programs.
FY 2006 PERFORMANCE Target 190,000 hectares under cultivation. USG-supported program eradicates 15,000 hectares.
Results In September 2006, the U.N. Office of Drugs and Crime released its opium poppy cultivation estimate of 165,000 hectares for Afghanistan, indicating a cultivation level below the 2006 target of 190,000. The 2006 estimate was initially set against the official U.S. Government estimate provided by the CIA’s Crime and Narcotics Center and the official estimate will not be available until December 2006.
Rating On Target
Impact Reducing the level of opium poppy under cultivation will deny destabilizing forces in Afghanistan the revenue with which to continue their operations and reduce the global supply of heroin.
PERFORMANCE DATA Data Source CIA Crime and Narcotics Center provides the estimates.
Data Quality
(Verification)		 Data provided by the CIA’s Crime and Narcotics Center are regarded as the most reliable U.S. Government information on narcotics cultivation and production.
PAST PERFORMANCE 2005 107,400 hectares under cultivation.
2004 206,000 hectares under cultivation.
2003 131,000 hectares under cultivation.

 

A Look to History: International Crime and Drugs

Photo showing Dr. Hamilton Wright.The 1909 Shanghai Opium Commission was the first international meeting to address the problem of drugs and the question of drug control. Dr. Hamilton Wright represented the United States in the Commission’s negotiations to diminish the East Asian opium trade that had caused a significant public health crisis in China and elsewhere. In his efforts to impose limitations on legal opium use, Hamilton clashed with some imperial powers as they benefited from the opium trade. Though the Commission did not reach any concrete resolutions, it raised important questions related to international drug trade and consumption and marked the inception of drug control as an international issue.

Dr. Hamilton Wright. Photo: AP/Wide World

 

INDICATOR: Number of Hectares Devoted to Legitimate Agricultural and/or Forestry Products Developed or Expanded in Areas Receiving USAID Assistance
USAID Seal Output
JUSTIFICATION: This indicator measures the impact of USAID programs in Afghanistan, Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru to expand production of licit crops and forestry products, thereby expanding legitimate economic opportunities.
FY 2006 PERFORMANCE Target 344,160 Hectares.
Results 382,286 Hectares, 11% above the FY 2006 target.
Rating Above Target
Impact USAID programs educate growers, provide alternative seeds, and agricultural inputs, and promote the production of licit crops in areas where poppy has been grown.
PERFORMANCE DATA Data Source Preliminary result data from USAID operating units.
Data Quality
(Verification)		 The Agency’s performance data are verified using data Quality Assessments (DQA), and must meet five data quality standards of validity, integrity, precision, reliability and timeliness. The methodology used for conducting the DQAs must be well documented by each operating unit. (For details, refer to USAID’s Automated directive System [ADS] Chapter 203.3.5, http://www.usaid.gov/policy/ads/200/203.pdf)
PAST PERFORMANCE 2005 310,281 hectares in licit production formerly in illicit poppy production, 1,141% above the FY 2004 baseline.
2004 25,000 hectares in licit production formerly in illicit poppy production.
2003 N/A.

 

Farmers Abandon Illicit Crops in Colombia

Photo showing a farmer inspecting his coffee shrub, planted in fields that once grew illegal crops, with his son near Turbó, in Colombia's Urabá region.In Colombia’s Urabá region, which has suffered from security problems resulting from illegal drug crop cultivation and trafficking, USAID’s alternative development projects have helped poor farmers and other vulnerable groups transition from the illegal drug economy to a legitimate business economy by sharing technical expertise on agriculture and small business development. These projects have made the communities safer and allowed farmers to earn a legal living. For example, participants in one program learned planting techniques, plant care, and fertilizer applications. They also learned about the economic potential of the plants. After the demonstration phase finished, the plots were turned into plant nurseries that produce several varieties of acacia, melina, and teak, in addition to cacao, rubber, and other crops. The nurseries are spread out over 15 hectares of communally owned land, and they continue to serve as a center for training and community gatherings. This program in Urabá alone has reached some 1,500 Colombians in 10 co-ops, who since 2003 have planted a combined total of 679 hectares (1,677 acres) in legal crops where illegal coca plants once grew.

A farmer inspects his coffee shrub, planted in fields that once grew illegal crops, with his son near Turbó, in Colombia’s Urabá region. Photo: USAID

I/P: Improve Anti-Trafficking Prosecutorial and
Protection Capacities

INDICATOR: Number of Countries Strengthening and Enforcing New or Existing Anti-Trafficking Laws to Come Into Compliance with International Standards
Department of State seal Outcome
JUSTIFICATION: Strengthened laws requiring strong penalties for traffickers and comprehensive assistance for victims indicate concrete efforts to prosecute and convict traffickers and to protect victims.
FY 2006 PERFORMANCE Target
  • Ten countries move up a tier or off the Tier 2 Watch List classification based on fulfillment of country strategies.
  • Two additional countries receiving USG assistance successfully adopt comprehensive anti-trafficking law(s).
Results
  • In the past year, 16 countries moved up a tier or off the Tier 2 Watch List. Of these 16 countries, eight moved up from Tier 3 to Tier 2 Watch List or Tier 2. Eight additional countries moved from the Tier 2 Watch List to Tier 2.
  • Forty-one countries adopted new legislation or amended existing legislation to combat trafficking in persons.
Rating Significantly Above Target
Impact Concrete actions taken by governments to fight trafficking result in more prosecutions, convictions, and prison sentences for traffickers and comprehensive assistance for victims.
PERFORMANCE DATA Data Source Annual Department of State Trafficking in Persons Report.
Data Quality
(Verification)		 Information from the 2006 Trafficking in Persons Report is from U.S. embassies, foreign government officials, NGOs and international organizations, published reports, research trips to every region, and information submitted to tipreport@state.gov. U.S. diplomatic posts reported on the trafficking situation and governmental action based on thorough research, including meetings with a wide variety of government officials, local and international NGO representatives, international organizations, officials, journalists, academics, and survivors.
PAST PERFORMANCE 2005
  • With USG assistance, 39 countries adopted anti-trafficking legislation.
  • The United States was the ninety-seventh country to ratify the UN Trafficking in Persons Protocol on November 5, 2005.
2004
  • Tier rating targets for 2004 TIP Report: Tier 1: 31; Tier 2: 80; Tier 3: 12.
  • Thirty additional countries, including the U.S., ratified UN Trafficking in Persons Protocol.
2003
  • Forty-two percent of Tier 2 and Tier 3 countries use Department assistance to develop or further anti-trafficking initiatives.
  • Forty-two countries ratified UN Trafficking in Persons Protocol, which entered into force.

 

INDICATOR: Number of Stakeholders and Survivors Assisted Through USAID-Supported
Anti-Trafficking in Persons Programs
USAID Seal Output
JUSTIFICATION: By training stakeholders on the legal and human rights aspects of trafficking, and by providing support services to the survivors of trafficking, USAID will reduce the number of people trafficked and the consequences of trafficking. Stakeholders include government officials, non-governmental organizations, journalists, private sector participants, community leaders and members, and religious organization leaders.
FY 2006 PERFORMANCE Target
  • 280,638 stakeholders (police, ministry of justice personnel, journalists, school children, at-risk trafficking survivors, etc) educated or trained.
  • 50,265 survivors of trafficking receive counseling and other support services.
Results
  • 222,332 stakeholders (police, ministry of justice personnel, journalists, school children, at-risk trafficking survivors, etc) educated or trained.
  • FY 2006 data for the number of survivors of trafficking receiving counseling and other support services are not available.
Rating Below Target
Impact A decrease in the number of stakeholders trained or educated equates to a general decline in the overall awareness of the dangers of trafficking. In turn, this may indirectly impact USAID’s effort to reduce the numbers of people trafficked.
Reason for Shortfall The explanation for this program’s shortfall is pending and will be obtained once the final FY 2006 results are reported.
Steps to Improve The necessary steps for this program’s improvement are pending and will be obtained once the final FY 2006 results are reported.
PERFORMANCE DATA Data Source Preliminary result data from USAID operating units.
Data Quality
(Verification)		 Verification and validation of the Agency’s performance data are accomplished by periodic reviews, certifications and audits, including Data Quality Assessments (DQAs) and PART assessments, as well as annual certification of operating units’ strategic objectives and their relationship to the Agency’s strategic goals. Data validation and verification are also supported by extensive automated systems and external expert analyses.
PAST PERFORMANCE 2005
  • 267,275 officials educated or trained.
  • 61,534 survivors of TIP received counseling and other support services.
2004
  • 47,483 officials educated or trained.
  • 434,318 survivors of TIP received counseling and other support services.
2003

Baselines:

  • 3,737 officials educated or trained.
  • 362 survivors of TIP receive counseling and other support services.

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Last Updated on: February 02, 2007