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Preview of Fragile States Early Warning System

August 17, 2004

An important element of USAID’s proposed Fragile States Strategy is the ability to identify those states that exhibit signs of fragility and then to track their status over time. Early warning of increased fragility is vital for an early response and ongoing monitoring of fragile states is important for understanding the effectiveness of interventions and adjusting responses.

As the first step in developing a comprehensive system for identifying and tracking fragile states, the Office of Conflict Management and Mitigation commissioned an initial design from iSciences LLP. The August 17 presentation provided an opportunity for the study’s principal authors to present their finding on the most appropriate indicators and data sources and their recommendations on how USAID should structure a process of identifying and monitoring fragile states.

The session will began with a brief overview of the USAID’s draft Fragile States Strategy. CMM outlined the steps for moving from recommendations to a functioning system over the next several months.




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