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Somalia – Complex Emergency
February 3, 2010
Situation Report #2, Fiscal Year (FY) 2010 (PDF, 50kb)
Background
Since 1991, widespread violence, endemic poverty, recurrent droughts, and floods have generated a complex emergency
in Somalia. From December 2006 to January 2009, fighting between the Somalia Transitional Federal Government
(TFG), backed by Ethiopian forces, and armed militias opposed to the TFG led to a further deterioration in humanitarian
conditions. Following January 2009 Ethiopian troop withdrawals, conflict between armed militia groups in Somalia
continues to displace populations and limit access to affected areas. As a result, nearly 561,000 Somali refugees have
fled the country and approximately 1.39 million internally displaced persons (IDPs), including long-term IDPs and
individuals displaced by increased fighting since February 2007, remain uprooted within Somalia.
On January 29, 2010, the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit
(FSNAU) reported that more than 3.2 million people would require humanitarian assistance in Somalia through June
2010, representing a 9 percent decrease since July 2009. The January to June 2010 estimate includes 555,000 urban
poor, representing a 15 percent decrease since July 2009; nearly 1.3 million individuals residing in rural areas,
representing a 15 percent decrease since July 2009; and approximately 1.39 million IDPs. The total number of IDPs
includes more than 1.1 million people displaced by escalated fighting since February 2007, and 275,000 long-term
IDPs. The combined effects of consecutive seasons of failed or poor rainfall, conflict, rising inflation, displacement,
and diarrheal disease outbreaks have severely exacerbated food insecurity and resulted in a significant increase in acute
malnutrition rates. U.N. and partner agencies are coordinating efforts to improve access, but insecurity and targeted
attacks against relief staff hinder the provision of emergency assistance to affected populations.
On October 1, 2009, U.S. Ambassador to Kenya Michael E. Ranneberger renewed the disaster declaration for the
complex emergency in Somalia for FY 2010. USAID/OFDA staff continue to monitor humanitarian conditions and
respond to the needs of affected populations in Somalia.
NUMBERS AT A GLANCE
| Total Population in Need of Emergency Assistance |
3.2 million |
FSAU – Jan. 2010 |
| IDPs in Somalia |
1.39 million1 |
UNHCR – Jan. 2010 |
| Somali Refugees in East and Yemen |
561,000 |
UNHCR2 – Jan. 2010 |
|
FY 2010 HUMANITARIAN FUNDING TO DATE
| USAID/OFDA Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia: |
$5,464 |
| USAID/FFP3 Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia: |
$14,700 |
| Total USAID and State Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia: Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia: |
$20,164 |
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Current Situation
Humanitarian conditions in Somalia continue to
deteriorate due to increasing insecurity and civil
conflict, inter-clan fighting, disease outbreaks,
population displacement, food insecurity, and
livelihood deterioration. Conflict and increased attacks
targeting aid agencies have resulted in food aid
suspensions and diminished humanitarian access to
displaced and conflict-affected populations.
On January 5, the U.N. World Food Program (WFP)
announced the temporary closure of six offices in
southern Somalia, citing escalating insecurity, attacks
against aid workers, humanitarian staff abductions, and
unacceptable demands from armed groups as obstacles
to the provision of emergency food assistance. WFP
expects the temporary food aid suspension to affect
approximately 900,000 individuals, one-third of WFP’s
total caseload in Somalia. WFP plans to continue
working throughout the rest of the country, including in
Mogadishu and the nearby Afgooye corridor, providing
food assistance to approximately 1.8 million people.
Security and Populations Movements
Between July and December 2009, insecurity levels
increased or remained at high levels throughout
Mogadishu, Middle and Lower Juba, Bakool, Hiran,
Galgadud, and Mudug regions, according to FSNAU.
In addition, emerging insecurity trends occurred in
northern Somalia. Between January and June 2010,
FSNAU reported that civil insecurity is likely to result
in continued and renewed conflict; ongoing population
displacement; destruction of property; an increased
number of checkpoints; disruption of trade activities
within Somalia; and closure of the Kenyan border.
FSNAU also noted the possibility of escalated
insecurity in rural areas.
On January 19, UNHCR revised the estimated number
of IDPs in Somalia from 1.5 million individuals to
approximately 1.39 million individuals, including
275,000 long-term IDPs. The new IDP estimate
reflects a downward revision of the number of IDPs
residing in Afgooye corridor, from 540,000 to 380,000,
following a verification exercise. In the coming weeks,
humanitarian agencies expect increased insecurity and
the recent suspension of WFP operations in south
Somalia to result in increased population movements
within Somalia and across international borders.
On January 30, UNHCR estimated that insecurity,
inter-clan fighting, and livelihood deterioration had
displaced approximately 82,000 individuals within
Somalia since January 1, with insecurity accounting for
98 percent of total displacement. Of the total, internal
displacement between January 1 and 22 includes
approximately 18,000 individuals displaced from
Mogadishu, of which 13,900 people fled the city and
4,400 others displaced to safer areas within Mogadishu.
According to the U.N. Office for the Coordination of
Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), the number of IDPs
residing in Lower Juba Region increased during the
week of January 15 following closure of the Kenya–
Somalia border. In addition, the U.N. World Health
Organization (WHO) reported that approximately 400
families remained stranded between the two borders for
more than three days. WHO and health partners
continue to provide health assistance to affected
populations and to monitor the situation.
Ongoing conflict and attacks on aid workers continue
to hinder humanitarian assistance in south and central
Somalia. Attacks in Gedo and Hiran regions in late
December resulted in the deaths of two humanitarian
workers, bringing the total number of aid workers
killed in Somalia during 2009 to 10, according to
OCHA. On January 22, OCHA reported that a local
non-governmental organization (NGO) recovered the
body of a staff member from an abandoned road in
Mogadishu on January 16. According to OCHA,
unidentified gunmen previously kidnapped the staff
member, along with four other members of the local
NGO who remain missing as of February 3. The local
NGO is a major implementing partner of the wet
feeding program in Mogadishu, according to OCHA.
Increasing insecurity also continues to displace
populations across international borders. As of early
January, UNHCR reported that nearly 561,000 Somali
refugees resided in the region, including 309,107 in
Kenya; 162,669 in Yemen; 59,010 in Ethiopia; 11,660
in Uganda; 10,700 in Djibouti; 4,760 in Eritrea; and
2,870 in Tanzania.
In January 2010, UNHCR registered an estimated
3,289 Somali refugees in the Dadaab camp complex
located in the North Eastern Province of Kenya,
bringing the total number of refugees in the Dadaab
complex to 259,717 individuals. Relief agencies
continue to note concern regarding humanitarian
conditions within the Dadaab complex due to
overcrowded conditions and limited access to basic
services. The camps currently host nearly three times
the intended maximum capacity of 90,000 individuals.
In FY 2009, the U.S. Department of State’s Bureau of
Population, Refugees, and Migration (State/PRM)
provided more than $56 million to support affected
Somalis, including $39 million in earmarked funding to
assist Somali refugees in Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti,
and Yemen, and $17 million to support UNHCR and
International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
operations within Somalia.
Health and Nutrition
According to late January reports, the nutrition
situation remains critical in areas of south Somalia,
including Lower and Middle Juba, Bakool, Bay, and
Hiran regions; some areas in Gedo Region; parts of
central Somalia; and Togdheer Region in northern
Somalia. Areas of particular concern include Juba
Region, where high malnutrition levels are linked to
disease outbreaks rather than food access; Bakool
Region and parts of Gedo Region, where high
malnutrition rates are linked to food access; and Bay
and Hiran regions where nutritional vulnerability is
linked to both disease outbreaks and food access.
FSNAU reports indicate that nutrition conditions in
central regions remain critical but have not
significantly deteriorated in the last six months of 2009
due to successful humanitarian interventions.
According to FSNAU, one in six children in Somalia is
acutely malnourished and one in 22 is severely
malnourished, with a national median global acute
malnutrition (GAM) rate of 16 percent and a severe
acute malnutrition (SAM) rate of 4.2 percent,
exceeding the traditional WHO emergency thresholds.
In south and central Somalia, FSNAU data indicates
that one in five children is acutely malnourished and
one in 20 is severely malnourished, with GAM rates of
19 percent and SAM rates of 4.5 percent.
Countrywide, FSNAU reports that approximately
240,000 children under five years of age are acutely
malnourished, including 63,000 severely malnourished
children who require immediate life-saving
interventions.
According to preliminary FSNAU estimates, the
national stunting rate in Somalia is 20 percent,
indicating that one in five children is unlikely to reach
full development potential. Among IDP populations in
Somalia, the stunting rate is 25 percent, indicating that
one in four children is unlikely to reach development
potential. FSNAU also reports elevated crude and
under five mortality rates, which have exceeded
emergency thresholds among pastoral populations in
Juba Region and central areas, as well as among IDPs
in Afgooye corridor.
Between November and December 2009, FSNAU and
humanitarian partners conducted nine nutrition
assessments in Togdheer, Mudug, Galgadud, and Hiran
regions. The survey results indicated continuing high
levels of malnutrition in surveyed areas, with no
improvement from previous May 2009 assessments,
and GAM rates greater than 20 percent in Galgadud,
Mudug, and Hiran regions. In late January 2010,
FSNAU also noted that decreasing humanitarian access
and fewer implementing partners could result in further
deteriorated nutrition conditions, particularly in
Galgadud, Mudug, Hiran, and Bakool regions.
Implementing partners in Galgadud, Mudug, and Hiran
regions also reported increased admission rates of
severely malnourished children into selective feeding
centers during the last six months of 2009. FSNAU
noted that persistent lack of access to safe drinking
water, sanitation facilities, and adequate healthcare
remain significant contributing factors to the sustained
decline in nutrition conditions.
To mitigate declining health and nutrition conditions,
the U.N. Children’s Fund (UNICEF), WHO, and
implementing health partners continue to implement
the third iteration of the Child Health Days (CHD)
campaign, providing women and children with
important health services, including vaccinations.
Since re-commencing in November 2009, the CHD
campaign has reached more than 288,000 children
under five years of age and more than 296,000 women
in Mogadishu. During mid-to-late 2009, high levels of
insecurity and lack of cooperation from local
authorities prevented UNICEF from conducting two
planned CHD campaigns in Mogadishu, Lower
Shabelle region, and Kismayo district. According to
OCHA, the first two CHD campaigns reached
approximately 2 million children under five years of
age and more than 1.5 million women of child-bearing
age. UNICEF, WHO, and implementing partners aim
to reach 1.5 million children and 1.2 million women
during each round of the vaccination campaign.
To date in FY 2010, USAID/OFDA has provided
nearly $1.2 million to support health and nutrition
activities in Somalia, including programs intended to
mitigate the impact of acute malnutrition and improve
access to critical basic health care services for children
and pregnant women.
Agriculture and Food Security
Normal to above-normal 2009/2010 deyr rains have
improved crop and pasture conditions in most areas of
southern Somalia. However, below-normal rainfall in
central, northeast, and parts of northwest Somalia has
reduced pasture and water availability and exacerbated
drought conditions, according to FSNAU. Good
seasonal rainfall in southern agricultural areas of
Somalia has resulted in a normal to above-normal
harvest production. FSNAU estimates a total
2009/2010 deyr cereal production of 124,700 metric
tons (MT) in south Somalia, representing the largest
deyr cereal production in south Somalia since the
2001/2002 deyr season, a 246 percent increase
compared to the 2008 deyr cereal harvest, and a nearly
150 percent increase compared to the 2004-2008
average.
Including deyr and off-season production, FSNAU
estimates a seasonal cereal production in south Somalia
of 126,400 MT, also significantly above the 2008
levels and the 2004-2008 average. In addition, 2009
commercial cereal imports were above-average, with
nearly 700,000 MT imported during the year,
representing a 190 percent increase compared to 2008
commercial cereal imports, and 156 percent increase
compared to the 2005-2007 average. Due to an
increased volume of imports and increased livestock
exports, imported commodity prices decreased slightly
or remained stable through the year. Additionally, on
January 22, OCHA field staff reported that water
shortages in Somaliland and Puntland due to
insufficient rainfall has resulted in abnormal population
and livestock movements towards Sool Region in
search of pasture and water.
In FY 2010 to date, USAID/OFDA has provided nearly
$1.1 million to support agriculture and food security
programs in Somalia, including interventions designed
to improve crop production and storage in droughtaffected
areas.
Emergency Food Assistance
On January 5, WFP announced the indefinite
suspension of emergency food distributions in areas of
southern Somalia due to escalating clashes, attacks
against aid workers, and humanitarian staff abductions.
Prior to the forced suspension of WFP operations in
south Somalia, the organization planned to discontinue
general food distributions in southern Somalia during
January and February due to an expected increase in
food availability following the December harvest.
WFP continues to assist approximately 1.8 million
food-insecure individuals in other areas of Somalia.
In anticipation of increased population movements
resulting from the early WFP food aid suspension and
the upcoming hunger season, WFP and other
humanitarian organizations are currently exploring
options to address the needs of affected populations.
During the week of January 22, WFP conducted a test
delivery of 60 MT of food commodities that arrived
safely in Afgooye from Mogadishu. The delivery was
the first to Afgooye since the early January suspension
of WFP operations in southern Somalia, and with
additional supplies received in Mogadishu on January
27, WFP plans to increase food deliveries to Afgooye
to 3,000 MT per month.
In FY 2010 to date, USAID/FFP has provided more
than 18,000 MT of P.L. 480 Title II emergency food
assistance, valued at nearly $15 million, to WFP for
distribution to vulnerable populations. In addition,
USAID/OFDA provided more than $1.8 million to
WFP for the regional procurement and distribution of
food aid in FY 2009.
Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene
Waterborne diseases continue to present significant
health risks for conflict-affected populations in
Somalia. WHO conducted a field visit to Banadir
Hospital in Mogadishu in late December, following
confirmation of cholera cases at the facility in October.
From late November to late December, WHO reported
696 acute watery diarrhea (AWD) cases at the hospital,
with 86 percent occurring in children under five years
of age, as well as one confirmed cholera case.
Between January 11 and 17, Banadir hospital reported
108 cases of AWD, an increase from 75 cases during
the previous week. Although health partners declared
the AWD outbreak was under control in late 2009,
WHO continues to monitor the situation. In recent
weeks, WHO has expressed concern regarding the high
incidence of AWD at the facility, particularly as the
risk of transmission to large IDP populations nearby
remains high.
On January 30, FSNAU reported that 70 percent of the
population in Somalia remains unable to access safe
drinking water. In addition, sub-optimal feeding
practices continue to place children at risk of
contracting diarrhea, which subsequently leads to
malnutrition. Support for health, nutrition, and water,
sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) programs remains
critical to preventing increased malnutrition and
mortality rates during the next six months, according to
FSNAU.
In FY 2010 to date, USAID/OFDA has provided nearly
$2.4 million to support WASH interventions in
Somalia, including programs designed to increase
access to safe drinking water and reduce the spread of
waterborne diseases through water point rehabilitation
and hygiene awareness campaigns.
USG HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
In FY 2009, the U.S. Government (USG) provided
more than $150 million for humanitarian assistance
programs in Somalia, including more than $9 million in
USAID/OFDA funding to support agriculture and food
security, economic recovery and market systems,
health, nutrition, protection, and WASH interventions.
For detailed information on U.S. Government humanitarian assistance to Somalia, please see Situation Report #2, Fiscal Year (FY) 2010 (PDF, 50kb)
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